Northern revitalisation
This page is part of a series of supporting content to the Draft National Planning Framework 4 (Draft NPF4).
On this page we take a closer look at the North mainland of Scotland and present some of the key evidence, maps and data that were useful in developing the Draft NPF4's Spatial Strategy.
What does the area look like and what challenges does it face?
Within the Draft NPF4, the North mainland action area includes (in broad terms):
- Highland
- Arygll & Bute
- Moray
We have set out below a selection of data insights related to this area, using maps and other key data.
These snippets of information are intended to give some insight into what makes this area unique.
We also outline some of the challenges facing the area, and provide some additional background to Draft NPF4's proposed approach.
Carbon emissions
CO2 emissions are relatively low across the area
Carbon dioxide (CO2) is the main greenhouse gas, accounting for about 81 per cent of the UK greenhouse gas emissions in 2018.
The map below shows CO2 emissions per kilometre squared for each Local Authority in Scotland.
It highlights that the Highland, Moray, and Argyll and Bute all have relatively low CO2 emissions when compared to the central belt.
Net carbon dioxide emissions per kilometre squared
CO2 emissions per km2, in tonnes CO2
> 5 - 13.7
> 2.5 - 5
> 1 - 2.5
0 - 1
| Local Authority | Emissions per km2 (tonnes CO2) |
Net emissions (Kt CO2) |
|---|---|---|
| Moray | 0.28 | 625 |
| Highland | 0.05 | 1,361 |
| Argyll and Bute | 0.04 | 267 |
| Scotland | 0.39 | 31,045 |
Emissions in the area are partially offset by the climate sequestration arising from land use and forestry, which act as a net carbon sink overall.
|
Sector |
Argyll and Bute | Highland | Moray |
|---|---|---|---|
| Domestic | 161 | 452 | 166 |
| Industry | 132 | 456 | 288 |
| Commercial | 45 | 134 | 110 |
| Public Sector | 16 | 52 | 51 |
| Transport | 184 | 581 | 154 |
| Land use, Land use change, and Forestry | -271 | -314 | -143 |
Although there are few sources of significant industrial emissions there are still opportunities to consider how carbon emissions can be further reduced.
Peatlands
Peatland restoration presents a key opportunity to offset carbon emissions
The north mainland of Scotland includes extensive forestry and peatland which acts as a carbon sink, contributing to the wider sustainability of the country as a whole.
The map shows areas of peatland in Scotland. Peatland stores vast amounts of carbon - twice as much as all the world’s forests.
Peatland restoration not only presents a key opportunity to offset carbon emissions, it also provides a strong basis for future generations of rural employment.
Areas of Peatland
Peatland
Connectivity and transport
Connectivity and access to services present key challenges
Many of the north of Scotland’s dispersed communities remain relatively dependent on the car and access to services contributes to social deprivation across the area.
The map shows the time that it takes to reach the nearest retail centre, using public transport.
It highlights using public transport for everyday tasks like shopping is not an easy option - for many in the area trips can take more than an hour each way.
Travel time to a retail centre, by Public Transport
Time to Retail Centre (in minutes)
More than 60 minutes
> 45 to 60 minutes
> 30 to 45 minutes
Less than 30 minutes
Population change
Population decline is projected to continue in this part of the country
Some of the most remote parts of the area have experienced outward migration and loss of younger people. Further population decline is a future risk across much of the area, particularly towards the west.
This trend is projected to continue into the future.
For example, Argyll and Bute is projected to see its overall population decline by 12,808 people, by the year 2043.
Predicted population change 2018 - 2043
Large growth (More than 10,000)
Moderate growth (between 1,000 and 9,999)
Steady population (change of less than 1000)
Moderate decline (between 1,000 and 9,999)
Large decline (More than 10,000)
| Local Authority | Projected change | Change as a percentage |
|---|---|---|
| Argyll and Bute | -12,808 | -15% |
| Moray | -2,554 | -3% |
| Highland | -2,290 | -1% |
Housing
High house prices can be a challenge in the Highlands
Many parts of the area have experienced increasing house prices, and anecdotal evidence suggests this has accelerated as a result of the pandemic and a more mobile workforce arising from the growth in remote working.
Median House Price by Local Authority
Median price (houses sold in Q1 2021)
> £220,000 - £250,000
> £180,000 - £220,000
> £140,000 - £180,000
> £110,000 - £140,000
£90,000 - £110,000
| Local Authority |
Median Price |
|---|---|
| Highland | £175,000 |
| Argyll & Bute | £150,000 |
| Moray | £159,250 |
| National average | £162,000 |
Fuel Poverty
Fuel poverty is a challenge for many households in the area
There is a clear overall pattern of higher fuel poverty in the north of Scotland.
Households in fuel poverty by Local Authority
The map shows the percentage of households living in fuel poverty.
> 29% - 37%
> 25% - 29%
> 22% - 25%
16% - 22%
Biodiversity
The area is rich in biodiversity, which must be protected
The map shows locations of Sites of Scientific Interest (SSSI) in Scotland.
You can also use the link above to view data on a range of other protected areas including Special Protection Areas (SPA) and Wetlands of International Importance (Ramsar).
These maps highlight that large sections of land across the north west region have been identified as areas of rich biodiversity that should be protected.
Locations of Sites of Special Scientific Interest
SSSI
What does the draft NPF4 propose for the area?
The Draft NPF4 proposes that the priorities for the North mainland action area should include growing low carbon rural communities, capitalising on digital innovation and making the most of the exceptional natural and cultural heritage.
Highland, Argyll and Bute and Moray Councils have identified ambitions for their areas in emerging indicative regional spatial strategies.
The Draft NPF4 aims to bring these visions together to set out a coherent plan that addresses the collective strengths and challenges for the area and set out strategic priorities of national significance.
You can use the link below to find out more by reading the full Draft NPF4.
The Draft National Planning Framework 4
Read the draft on gov.scotLast Updated: 20 Apr 2023